Saturday, July 24, 2010

Mobile operating systems

We’ve gone from mobile operating systems not mattering, to everyone wanting one of their own: Google – Android; Samsung – Bada; Microsoft – Windows Phone; Nokia – Symbian, Meego; Intel – Meego; HP / Palm – WebOS; Apple – iOS. Compare that with the number of desktop operating systems!

This is a gold rush into the new markets opened up by the iPhone. There are two reasons to have your own mobile OS:

  • Differentiation from other manufacturers – providing a unique interface and features to go with your hardware
  • App Stores – make money by establishing your own App Store, selling apps along with the phones

So what happens next? Obviously, consolidation. In fact this is already happening in some areas – for example, Linux and Webkit are the foudation of many of the above operating systems.

Manufacturers will always have a need for software differentiation; they’ve learnt this through years of having to using Windows. But I don’t think they can all have App Stores with different development environments. Developers will simply not learn more than two or three.

The most obvious way to overcome this problem is to make the development platform be web standards (HTML, JS and CSS), which developers already know. This tactic is likely to be deployed by the weaker platforms, both to gain a foot up and also to undermine their more successful rivals with a common standard. It’s already been pursued by Palm with WebOS, and now Nokia are also using it with Symbian. I would expect only two or three development environments to survive that are not primarily focused on web standards: Apple’s iOS, Google’s Android (ironically, given that companies’ supposed focus on HTML5), and maybe one more.

This is likely to lead to even faster development of browser engines in the next couple of years, as mobile investment pours in. The net effect will be that the browser becomes as powerful as any native app – and, ironically, app stores will simply become websites that cost money.

One more prediction – Firefox on Mobile will be surprisingly successful. It’s had a very slow start; in fact it’s been written off in favour of webkit by almost everyone. What’s more, it will only be available on Android and Meego for the next year or two. But it’s got one major advantage: it’s not just a browser engine, it’s the chrome as well.

The current state of mobile browser chrome is terrible – features that are standard on the desktop (such as automatically remembering passwords, or auto-completing the address bar as you type based on browser history, or blocking adverts, or allowing add-ons) are completely missing on mobile, even though they should be even more important in that environment to help manage limited screen size. So I expect Firefox to take advantage of other’s complacency and inexperience and make a real impression, just as it did initially against Internet Explorer. This will likely happen over a period of two or more years as native browsers lag, then finally notice they must invest to catch up.

In a few years, then, the mobile market will have evolved substantially. Common standards based on the web will unite the weaker players against the top two or three platforms. App stores will become more like websites that cost money. And, after a hiatus, browser design will re-establish it’s importance.

18 comments:

Anonymous said...

當我微笑時,世界和我一起微笑;當我快樂時,世界和我一起活躍。..................................................

Anonymous said...

Thank you for share very good info. Your website is very good! I'm impressed by the information that you have on this blog. Mason, from web hosting coupons

Donald Trump said...

Maxatron Plus With thousands of male enhancement treatments to choose from, it is important to have knowledge regarding cold hard male enhancement facts. Most men are misinformed especially with myths and

keven peterson said...

Bionatrol Pro Enhance are legitimate. There are lots of knock-off products. Only way to avoid such fake products is by educating yourself and through careful shopping. Prices of male enhancement products vary

Jhon wick said...

Synergex 7 most of the various penis enhancement pills and also natural male enhancement pills, and now we have identified which of them may possibly work effectively for you depending on ingredients and efficiency.

Donald Trump said...

Ryzex Male Enhancement There are also creams available as well. Other products include pheromone cologne. For those not familiar with pheromone, it is actually a hormone that is emitted,

Jhon wick said...

Keto Gedeon It could be with making money, looking for a new job, or in your relationships. Creating a new habit takes time because our brain's do not like change. Change to the brain is dangerous.

Donald Trump said...

Super Fast Keto Boost you will find it easier to see where you are going wrong. You can review the diary at the end of each week to get a clearer picture of just how much calories you really are consuming.

Maxwell said...

Keto Trim 800 you take in during the week you will find it easier to see where you are going wrong. You can review the diary at the end of each week to get a clearer picture of just how much calories you really

Donald Trump said...

Ultragenik Keto might be appealing to think that they are at last on the right track and that they will finally be able to stick to it and lose

Maxwell said...

Rapid Fast Keto Boost The question is not whether the diet is effective in the short term, but if the diet can be followed indefinitely as a lifelong way of eating. Going from "their" way of eating back to "your" way of eating

Donald Trump said...

Celaxryn RX Male enhancement pills are carefully formulated pills to enlarge and boost one's sexual life. Since they can improve blood circulation to the penis,

Jhon wick said...

Evianne Cream If you looking to find the top rated Anti Aging creams that actually works? Read our unbiased reviews on best anti aging creams and discover which anti-aging creams actually work and which ones are just a waste of money.

Donald Trump said...

Spartan Keto Eat fewer foods with unhealthy fats. Eat fewer foods that contain unhealthy fats like transfats, unsaturated fats, and cholesterol while eat foods that contain healthy fatty acids coming from nuts, fish oils, olive oils,

Donald Trump said...

Ultimate Keto Boost the best weight loss exercise program for you. However, always choose the program that comes in natural and not those ones that career involves helping individuals get

Donald Trump said...

V Fusion Rise Keto You've probably tried to lose weight many times in the past. You've tried one fast weight loss diet for quick weight loss, then the next best weight loss diet, always searching for the ultimate best weight loss program that will give you quick weight loss, and help you to keep it off permanently.

Donald Trump said...

Optimal Rock . On the other hand, lots of men search for tips on how to enhance their sexual capabilities on a regular basis. Irrespective of your age, you might find that a

asasasasa said...

me what I say that she will love you more in the event you show satisfaction and self assurance in both your physique language and with what you say. Be a Alpha Male - self assurance self belief, strong Cylophin RX self-perception, and the capability to manage a conversation and make woman consider secure and this is an all-main element to succeeding with and attracting ladies. Have entire confidence while you process a lady and she will respond favorably to you. Be the funniest man in a group, have the arrogance to keep peoples attention. An alpha Male is a man that exudes self .

https://www.testosteroneboostclassi.com/cylophin-rx/